Congress, TDP try to measure Chiru vote
The Praja Rajyam could be a game-changer in the second phase of elections on April 23, though it did not fare too well in the first phase.
It is believed that the Praja Rajyam will take up to 25 per cent of the votes in the segments where it commands influence, and up to 10 per cent elsewhere. The big question is from which party the votes will come from.
The second phase polls cover 140 Assembly seats in 10 districts of coastal Andhra and Rayalaseema and is crucial to both the Congress and the Telugu Desam.
According to intelligence reports, the Congress can win 60 seats in the first phase and 90 out of the 140 going to the polls in the second. Winning anything less than 90 will make it difficult to retain power.
The TD and its poll partners have to win at least 60 seats in the second phase, after claiming that it will get 90 seats in the first. Both the Congress and the TD have acknowledged that they will suffer Chiranjeevi cuts in East and West God-avari districts. But it is the Chiranjeevi impact in Nell-ore, Prakasam, Guntur and Krishna districts that is wo-rrying the two main parties.
The Praja Rajyam candidates will poll between 5,000 and 20,000 votes in seats in these districts. That is a sizeable number in a keen contest. In Rayalaseema, however, the Praja Rajyam may not cut heavily into the Congress and TD votes as its influence is waning; the fight could be confined to a very few segments.
According to sources, Praja Rajyam candidates have edge over its rivals in Kakinada and Amalapuram Lok Sabha seats out of the 20 going to polls on April 23. Its influence is more felt in East and West Godavari districts. PR candidates have edge in the Assembly segments of Anantapur, Allagadda, Panyam, Alur, Rajampet, Proddutur and Tirupati, where Chiranjeevi is the party candidate.
It also expects a strong showing in Kavali, Nellore Town, Ongole, Giddalur, Guntur West, Vijayawada West, Bandar, Eluru, Polavaram and Palacole, where Chiranjeevi is also contesting. Jaggampet, Ramachandrapuram, Mummadivaram, Kottapeta, Mandapeta, Rajanagaram, Rajahmundry City, Peddapuram, P. Gannavaram and Kakinada Urban are other seats where the Praja Rajyam is seen to be strong.
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About This Post
Can Chiranjeevi Change the System?
There are only 2 castes ruling the state and have a claim to be CM of AP in present times.
In particular Cine field is dominated by Kammas and Politics is dominated by Reddys.
You have to have unbelievable courage to stand up against a mistake committed by Kammas in Krishna region and Reddys in Rayalaseema region.
More than 90% of reddys vote for congress or a reddy candidate.
More than 90% of the kammas vote for TDP or a kamma candidate.
More than 90% of the reddys are pro sakshi paper and TV channel.
More than 90% of the Kammas are pro Eenadu paper and TV channel.
Do you by any chance see a state wide pattern here…
The circulation of news papers like Eenadu, Sakshi and Andhra Jothi account for more than 75% of the total circulation.
They can take any message as they see it to any corner of the state and only they have the infrastructure and network to do that.
Not all 100% Kammas are rich and not all 100% Reddys are rich.
This is not to say Kammas and Reddys are bad. May be they are hard working compared to others. May be their families are more disciplined compared to others. May be they are more ambitious compared to others. Some or all the above…
But the naked fact that we are talking about just 10% or less of Andhra population.
The total percentage of these 2 castes is well below 10% of the state population according the 2004 Indian population statistics. This fact makes me feel less and little insecure.
No ordinary man can challenge this system.
Chiranjeevi is no ordinary man. He challenged.
If they can keep Chiranjeevi down they can keep the present system of your community leader for 1 or 2 terms followed by my community leader for 1 or 2 terms pattern for a long time.
They may succeed to suppress him but this man won my vote because he tried to change.